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UK government data shows if you’re under 80, you should NOT take the COVID vaccine

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I’ve been asking everyone: Show me the all-cause mortality data proving the vaccines are safe. I finally got the data. It’s from the UK government. I was right. They were wrong.

By Steve Kirsch


I looked at the official mortality data from the UK government Office of National Statistics from January 1, 2021 to January 31, 2022. I compared the all-cause mortality (ACM) for people who got 2 shots at least 6 months ago with the unvaccinated. This provides a minimum reasonable “runway” to observe the outcomes.

The data clearly showed if you are younger than 80, you shouldn’t get the shot.

Should you get the shot if you are over 80? That’s not clear because the data was too confounded to get a reliable answer (our “sanity check” wasn’t satisfied as described below). Until we see reliable data, it’s irresponsible to make a recommendation to take the intervention for those over 80.

Bottom line: Based on this data, NOBODY should get these vaccines, unless they want to increase their chance of dying.

The younger you are, the less sense it makes. It is criminal we are vaccinating our kids.

Where to get the source data

It’s archived here. You want to open the spreadsheet, and look at the spreadsheet tab labelled Table 6.

It was archived from the original source at: which you can see at the top of the page.

Where to get my analysis of the data

I annotated the source data and you can download it here. This makes what is going on easier to see.

Summary of the data

The summary of the data (which I put on the Summary tab) shows the rate of all-cause mortality death per 100,000 person-years for each age range. It’s clear that for anyone under 80, you’re more likely to die if you got the vaccine (D>1). The younger you are, the less sense it makes for you to take the vaccine.

In short, any mortality benefit you get from taking the vaccine and lowering your risk of death from COVID is more than offset by the mortality you lose from the vaccine itself. This isn’t new. It is something I have been saying since May, 2021.

We saw similar numbers in the Pfizer Phase 3 trial

We saw similar number in the Pfizer Phase 3 trial where there were actually a total of 21 deaths in the vaccine group and 17 in the placebo group. This net 24% increase in death in the trial was of course dismissed as not statistically significant (which is true, but that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t pay attention).

But now, based on the UK data, we know that result wasn’t a fluke. We can see very clearly that for each age range, you were worse off if you got the vaccine.

In fact, I’d argue that the 24% higher all-cause mortality for the vaccinated in the Pfizer trial was a best case because:

  1. The trial enrolled abnormally healthy people who died at a much lower rate than the population (1% US average death rate, yet the 22,000 in each arm only had a .2% death rate since there were ~20 deaths in 6 months)
  2. They were able to get rid of anyone who had a reaction to the first dose without counting them

Confirmation from others

I’m hardly the only person seeing this effect. Other articles show either no benefit at all or a negative benefit.

For example, check out:

  1. Fully Vaccinated 6x Higher Overall Mortality Than Non-Vaccinated (October 30, 2021)
  2. Follow-up of trial participants found ‘no effect on overall mortality’
  3. Horowitz: The failure of the mRNA shots is on display for all with open eyes

Note that the highly credible Denmark paper (pre-published in the Lancet) showed overall zero benefit which of course means for the very elderly there was a slight benefit and for everyone else, there was a negative benefit.

What makes this analysis different than previous work

The dataset used here contains both COVID and non-COVID deaths by age.

This enables us to validate that the ACM rate for vaccinated people from non-COVID, was higher than the ACM rate for unvaccinated in all ages below 80 for the case we were looking at (the fully vaccinated person who was fully vaccinated at least 6 months ago).

In short, the data we have is much more detailed than the more frequently cited UK Health Security Agency summaries.

The sanity check

It’s important to do sanity checks on the data to avoid confounding problems since this wasn’t a randomized trial.

In particular, the all-cause mortality (ACM) rates for NON-COVID deaths in the vaxxed cohorts should be the same as the rates for the unvaccinated for a perfectly safe vaccine; it should be higher for sure for this vaccine as we know from VAERS.

All the data we used met this sanity check criteria.


Now we know why none of the authorities will share the ACM data: it’s negative.

Based on the UK government data, it’s clear that nobody under 80 should be vaccinated with these vaccines. The younger you are, the less sense it makes.

The bottom line is this: our governments have been killing us with these vaccines.

It’s deplorable that the medical community never even asked for this data before recommending the vaccines. They continue to this day to keep their head in the sand and not demand to see the ACM data.

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